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The
dissolution disaster
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By
Dilrukshi Handunnetti
No
crystal ball was necessary to predict what was going on in the mind of
President Chandrika Kumaratunga when she dramatically wrested control of
three vital ministries including defence in November last year.
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It
is not as if she has failed to give prior warning either. The first
round artillery firing occurred even earlier when she made a surprise
move and took over the Lotteries Board under her wing alleging
corruption.
But,
true to style, the complacent UNF government continued to swallow the
indignities and like with everything else, adopted a wait and watch
policy. What it would politically cost the UNF administration would be
known only on April 3 when the poll results are announced.
Defying
reason
But
what defies reason, except to cast it as an act of sheer political
expediency, is how the new alliance could justify the dissolution of a
parliament in which Prime Minister Ranil Wickremesinghe commands a
comfortable majority with some 130 members supporting the UNF.
Kumaratunga,
despite announcing provincial elections and allowing a Dinesh
Gunawardena headed committee to recommend the holding of provincial
polls on one day to curb election violence proceeded to make a mockery
of the exercise by dissolving parliament and negating the entire reform
process.
Ending
weeks of speculation whether a dramatic dissolution of parliament would
be announced or not, President Kumaratunga dissolved the House on
February 7, four years ahead of schedule and a day after India's Lok
Sabha was dissolved, adding to her decision a contagious regional
flavour.
The
difference of course being that the Indian polls are almost on schedule
whereas the UNF government did command a comfortable majority in
parliament when it was dissolved.
But
before that, the necessary backdrop was created by the JVP-sponsored
trade unions with a wave of strikes crippling the economy. From farmers
to fishermen therewere continuous protests. While the PA and the JVP
were obviously working towards power ascendancy, the UNF for its part
too has done very little to protect its powerbase.
Complaints
Despite
the parliamentary majority, an economy that was progressing and a rupee
that has appreciated, the UNF has done next to nothing to make sure that
the people were made happy. Many were the complaints about the spiraling
cost of living and continued unemployment.
Believing
they had a full term in office, the UNP was busy strengthening the
economic foundationso that the people will
enjoy the benefits in the long term, but the people were not
prepared for the wait and Kumaratunga decided to strike before the
benefits of the economic reforms filtered to the people.
Strangely,
while being its strongest point, it was also the UNF's peace process
which eventually turned out to be its biggest undoing.
As
JVP's Wimal Weerawansa once publicly declared: "In the eyes of the
majority, it was a simple trade off than discussions on power
sharing." Needless to say, that adds to the sense of insecurityin
the minds of people who feel that there was ample inaction on the part
of the government when the truce was blatantly violated on many
occasions by the LTTE.
No
amount of the promised peaceful land helped to quell the disturbancein
the minds of a populace that has been at the receiving and for two
decades. It is these insecurities that the fire breathing Marxists of
the JVP tapped and is now attempting to convert into a positive vote for
them.
Politics
takes precedence
In
this backdrop, it is the very peace process that has provided the PA-
JVP alliance a sufficient political platform that is to take a beating
as politics takes precedence over the country's most contentious issue
that begs the southern political leadership to work together.
Responding
with customary disgust was LTTE Spokesman, Anton Balasingham who had
claimed that the dissolution clearly demonstrated the lack of will and
vision among the Sinhala political leadership to resolve the country's
burning issue.
Balasingham
was quoted on the proLTTE website, TamilNet as having said that
"the dissolution of the Sri Lankan parliament and the call for a
snap election constitutes a grave setback to the peace process. The
irrational power struggle and the lack of consensus among the Sinhala
ruling elites on the resolution of the ethnic conflict have plunged the
entire country into serious political instability and endangers the
peace prospects."
Prime
Minister Ranil Wickremesinghe has protested that the Chief Executive has
put the country's peace process in jeopardy for purposes of political
expediency.
On
Thursday, Wickremesinghe fired a letter to Kumaratunga alleging the
developmental work vital to build confidence were undertaken by the
Rehabilitation Ministry and Hindu Religious Affairs Ministry, and with a
single pen stroke she has denied both Dr. Jayalath Jayawardena and T.
Maheswaran their ministries and hence put development work in limbo.
Moragoda's
resignation
"As
a result of removing the non-cabinet ministers, Milinda Moragoda also
sent in his resignation. He is a member of the negotiating team and was
also responsible for demobilisation work, funding rehabilitation, and
development work in the north east," he alleged.
Despite
the allegations of power hunger by the UNF, the PA-JVP collectively call
this a historic opportunity to give a fresh alliance with a
nationalistic outlook to serve the country.
Speaking
to The Sunday Leader, PA Spokesman, Dr. Sarath Amunugama said that with
the country suffering from anarchy due to the existence of a UNF
government, it became incumbent upon President Kumaratunga to dissolve
the house and test the wish of the people once more.
"There
were serious issues concerning national security and sovereignty. People
harboured such real fears about their own safety and the President had
to take a decision. The spate of strikes, non-addressing of vital
issues, the rampant corruption coupled with employing the LTTE
imprudently have collectively made her dissolve parliament. It is a
conscious decision taken with national interest at heart," said
Amunugama.
The
theorising and the justification of the dissolution apart, there are
more immediate concerns that have arisen following the dissolution. As
Country Head, World Bank Peter Harold said in an interview published
elsewhere in this section, "there are certain programmes that a
caretaker government is unable to undertake."
Naturally,
there wouldbe serious repercussions as far as foreign aid is concerned
and that does not augur well for a country that still needs to build its
image before the international community. After 20 years of war, with
the truce returned a sense of peace and normalcy. As Harold had noted,
the images of troops deployed before government institutions in the
immediate aftermath of the dissolution damages the country's image.
Little
room for peace making
While
Kumaratunga has moved swiftly to summon the Norwegian monitors for a
discussion and to find ways to continue their implementation of the
truce, there is little room for peace making on her agenda in the coming
months.
Besides
the peace platform, one that has taken a severe beating is the economy.
From reaching a growth rate of 5.6 last year, the Sri Lankan currency
also appreciated for the first time in 50 years during the latter part
of 2003. The dissolution also had the immediate impact of the rupee
plummeting in value.
In
this backdrop, the Preferential Trade Agreement (PTA) that was billed
for signing on Monday between Thai PM Dr. Thakshin Shinawastra and his
Sri Lankan counterpart was called off last Sunday.
Refusing
to go ahead with the PTA signing ceremony, the Thai Premier had informed
Commerce and Consumer Affairs Minister, Ravi Karunanayake to put the
house in order first. "He said to first establish political
stability in Sri Lanka," said Karunanayake when questioned about
the importance of the FTA that was expected to bring considerable trade
benefits to the island.
Under
the agreement, Sri Lanka was to gain a 55% duty concession for the
exporting of tea to Thailand while products such as gold, garments and
gems along with service based products were also to come under the
banner.
Foreign
aid
"It
is not just the PTA with Thailand that we have lost right now.Large
quantities of foreign aid would be denied to Sri Lanka as a result of
this flagrant abuse of power displayed by Kumaratunga," said Prof.
G.L. Peiris, addressing a media conference on Thursday.
He
said that aid amounting to US$ 51 million for development work in
poverty stricken areas like Moneragala and Hambantota Districts and
further aid for plantation sector development totalling US$ 180 were to
be finalised this month.
In
the mle, what has also gone into cold storage is the defence pact Sri
Lanka was to shortly enter into with neighbouring India. A senior
official from the Indian High Commission speaking on the basis of
anonymity told The Sunday Leader while they considered the dissolution
"a very political act," what India possibly fails to
comprehend is the lack of national interest seen in such action.
"The
proposed defence pact was to be an important milestone in maintaining
peace and security across the Palk Straits," he said.
However,
the general mood in the country seems quite divided - some accuse the
PA-JVP alliance of being driven by a sheer lust for power while others
seem to endorse the action as one that was timely and necessary to
prevent the country from going down the precipice.
While
political parties were commencing the finalisation of their nomination
lists, there are emerging and disintegrating political alliances as
well.
Allegiance
to the UNF
The
Ceylon Workers' Congress (CWC) was the first political party to announce
its allegiance to the ruling UNF. At a media briefing on Wednesday, CWC
Vice President, R. Yogarajan said that while the plight of the
plantation workers were less than satisfactory and there is many a
demand that needs to be met, they would support the UNF simply for its
commitment to negotiating peace.
However,
the CWC has rejected Upcountry Peoples' Front Leader, P.
Chandrasekaran's request to form a grand Tamil alliance with the Tamil
political parties of the north east, due to such an alliance not likely
to be effective in the hill country.
The
UNF's constituent ally, the Sri Lanka Muslim Congress (SLMC) has so far
not announced which party would win its support, but SLMC sources
indicated it is likely to be the UNF, notwithstanding many concerns of
the community, simply to support the continuance of the peace process.
The
National Unity Alliance (NUA) and the Eelam Peoples' Democratic Party (EPDP)
along with the Communist Party (CP) have extended support to the PA-JVP
collective. The Sihala Urumaya has announced its desire to go solo while
the New Left Front led by Vasudeva Nanayakkara is desirous of an
alliance with other left parties that stand opposed to the PA-JVP
coalition as a "true left alternative."
While
the south is planning on alliances, there is also pole-vaulting. The
jumps are so swift that it reinforces the truth in the saying that there
are no permanent friends or enemies in politics.
Delivering
a significant political blow, a former PA deputy minister and a key
player in the 1971 insurgency, Athula Nimalasiri Jayasinghe alias 'Loku
Athula' along with former Kandy PA MP, Thilina Bandara Tennakoon have
joined the UNP.
The
UNP claims that there are more to follow while the PA confirms that a
few are likely to join the broad alliance.
As
far as the north is concerned, the Tamil National Alliance (TNA) will
contest independently but in all probability would extend support to
theRanil Wickremesinghe-led UNF when the new parliament is constituted.
Meanwhile,
consideration is being given to holding polls in the rebel-held areas in
the north east too, according to election officials. "We are
considering having polling booths in the areas considered as 'no man's
land,' where the land expanse is not held by either government troops or
the LTTE."
Polls
in the north east
However,
LTTE sources said that while they had no wish to allowing the people to
visit government controlled areas to cast their votes - underno
circumstances would the LTTE tolerate Sri Lankan police and the army
entering rebel-held territory to man elections.
With
polls becoming almost an annual feature in Sri Lanka, while it may seem
a solution to the current political impasse, there is every possibility
of creating a more unstable government that could result in a series of
other elections. All in all, a terrible indicator that Sri Lanka is fast
losing its political democracy.
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A
total of 196 legislators to be elected
On
April 2, the country would elect 196 legislators to parliament. A
total of 12,899,032 voters have been registered as at January this
year whereas in 2001, the registered voters numbered 12,428, 208
indicating an increase of 470,824 registered voters.
Fifty-one
registered political parties registered with the Elections'
Department are eligible to field candidates at the forthcoming
polls, the latest addition being the new alliance between the PA
and the JVP with the betel leaf as its symbol. These parties also
include the LTTE's political wing, the Tamil Eelam Liberation
Organisation.
With
the Elections Commissioner's Department announcing the number of
parliamentarians who would get elected from each district, it is
Colombo that will have the highest number of MPs while Trincomalee
would have the lowest number of representatives.
Colombo
will return 20 members while Trincomalee would elect only four
MPs. Twenty nine seats would be allocated for nominated members
making the total 225. Following are the registered voters in each
district and the number of parliamentarians due to be elected
according to the revised registry.

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Dissolution
stuns diplomatic community
By
Risidra Mendis
With
the sudden dissolving of parliament and the calling of a general
election by President Chandrika Kumaratunga, the diplomatic community in
Colombo is in shock and patiently awaiting the outcome of the election.
While
some foreign missions have already put their faith in whatever
government that comes into power, others are of the opinion that it is
better to wait and see.
Speaking
to The Sunday Leader, Press Officer, British High Commission, Margaret
Tongue said it is the President's choice to go for a re- election.
"We
hope that all parties will work towards having a free and fair election
in April and refrain from violence. We have had good relations with the
Sri Lankan government up to now and will continue to have good relations
with whatever government that comes into power," Tongue said.
Meanwhile,
airing his views on the forthcoming general election, First Secretary,
Japanese Embassy, Hideaki Matsuo said that the Japanese government is
aware of the President's decision to hold a snap poll.
"It
is regrettable that last year there has not been a resolution between
the President and the Prime Minister regarding the political turmoil in
the country," Matsuo said. He went on to say that the Japanese
government is hopeful the general election will be conducted peacefully
and the halted peace talks would resume. When asked if the Japanese
government would continue with their aid to Sri Lanka, Matsuo said the
Sri Lankan government has to show stability in the country for the
Japanese government to continue with financial aid.
Meanwhile,
Spokesperson, United States Embassy in Sri Lanka, Cody Taylor said that
the US hopes to work closely with any government chosen by the Sri
Lankan people. "Of course our ability to do so will depend on the
policies that the government follows," she stressed.
Taylor
went on to say that the US hopes that the election process will be an
opportunity for the Sri Lankan political parties to explore
constitutionally how to move ahead in ending the conflict in the
country.
Presenting
the view of the United States, she said, "We hope that the election
process will be fair and free of violence. Once the elections are over,
we urge the political parties to work together to continue the
negotiation process. We hope that the campaign and its outcome would not
hinder the continuation of the peace process in Sri Lanka."
Parties
fight for supremacy
By
Mandana Ismail Abeywickrema
As
the country prepares itself for yet another election - the third in four
years - political parties are gearing themsleves to hit the platforms
with slogans that they hope the masses would 'buy,' and whether they
pull it off could only be determined on April 2.
With
every party fighting for supremacy, they would each try to adopt a
'holier than thou' attitude.
Political
parties while forming new alliances in a bid to secure a majority in
parliament, have also come out with diverse ideas as part of their
election campaign. While new alliances keep emerging, it is interesting
to note the old alliances that are falling apart.
Intra
group rivalries
The
Tamil National Alliance (TNA), decisive as far as the formation of a
future government goes, is having its own intra group rivalries and
power struggles to contend with.
In
this backdrop, President, TNA, V. Anandasangaree is still contemplating
whether he should remain as part of the alliance or go solo.
He
told The Sunday Leader he has so far not decided whether he should
contest as an independent candidate or under the TNA. Once the decision
is made, he said that he would concentrate on the issues that he should
address in his campaign.
The
National Unity Alliance (NUA) is also undecided on what they should
campaign for, as far as the key issues go. Speaking to The Sunday
Leader, NUA Leader Ferial Ashraff stated that so far they plan to
contest as NUA, adding that speculation that they would join with the
Athaullah faction is not true, or not just yet. "We have not made
any such statement because we have not decided on such a thing,"
she said.
Secretary,
New Left Front (NLF), Vasudeva Nanayakkara, while maintaining that both
the UNP and the newly formed alliance have both done nothing for the
country, stated that there was no need at all for the President to
dissolve parliament at this juncture.
He explained that since the present parliament could have
functioned for four more years due to the simple valid reason that it
has not lost its parliamentary majority, there was no justifiable reason
for President Kumaratunga to dissolve parliament. "There are
grounds constitutionally provided for the dissolution of parliament, but
there was no need for it now," he said.
"Undemocratic
and militarist"
As
for the UNF campaign, Nanayakkara stated that they would ask the masses
not to vote for the SLFP-JVP alliance, which is "undemocratic and
militarist" in its approach. He stated that they would definitely
return to war, adding that the country does not need a war again.
As
for the UNP, Nanayakkara stated that people should not vote for the UNP
as it is anti-people in its policies and has so far done little to
relieve the burden of the suffering masses. He also stated that the UNP
always bowed to international pressure and followed their imperialist
agendas that did not work well for countries such as Sri Lanka.
Nanayakkara
also stated that they would firmly stand for peace and work to protect
the democratic rights of the people irrespective of which party or group
gets elected to power.
As
for new alliances being formed to contest the forthcoming elections,
Nanayakkara stated that his party, the Democratic Left Front (DLF),
would contest under Dr. Wickremabahu Karunaratne's party, NLF, under the
'table' symbol. Nanayakkara went on to say that they have also invited
the Lanka Sama Samaja Party (LSSP) and the Communist Party (CP) to join
the NLF and if they agree, they could be given the leadership of the
party, which would then contest under the late Vijaya Kumaratunga's
party, United Socialist Alliance (USA).
While
NLF was planning on a new alliance, condemning the dissolution move was
Gajendrakumar Ponnambalam of the All Ceylon Tamil Congress (ACTC). He
felt that President Kumaratunga's announcement of snap polls was
completely undemocratic and unjustifiable, in addition to having a
terrible impact on the possibilities of renewing the political dialogue
between the UNF and the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE) to find
a lasting solution to the ethnic conflict.
Ethnic
issue
"Her
actions were totally uncalled for as the present government commands the
majority in the House with 130 seats. Whatever the hiccups may be, they
were dealing with the most contentious issue - the ethnic issue,"
he said. Ponnambalam went on to say that the President and her partymen
have failed to consider the larger interest of the people when taking a
thoroughly politically motivated decision. "It is nothing but the
lust for power that has made her announce polls," he critiqued.
He
stated that the ACTC would contest, as they did earlier with the TNA.
"We will not be contesting with the UNP or the newly formed
alliance of SLFP and JVP, but independently. The ACTC will definitely
contest in the north and east and in some districts outside the north
and east as well," Ponnambalam said.
As
for key issues that they plan to address during the political campaign,
Ponnambalam stated that they would rephrase the policies that were used
at the earlier elections. The main issue would be to get the
international community and the Sinhalese people to recognise the LTTE
as representatives of the Tamil people. ACTC will also deal with issues
relating to the LTTE.
Gearing
up
Meanwhile,
the two chief contenders at the hustings, the UNF and the PA-JVP
alliance are both gearing up for battle.
UNF
Spokesman, Gayantha Karunatilleke said that the UNF intends placing
before the people the harm the President's decision has caused to this
nation.
"The
economy was picking up and the rupee was appreciating.
It is true that we were somewhat slow, but that is largely due to
the fact that no amount of overnight miracles by the UNF could put an
economy that had been completely devastated for seven years back on
track," he said.
As
for the campaign itself, he said that the UNF was determined to seek a
fresh mandate to usher in peace and also to tell the people how
arbitrarily President Kumaratunga has acted since the UNF took over. He
said that from the takeover of the Lotteries Board under her wing to the
three ministries and now sacking ministers, it has been a terrible track
record as far as she went.
"No
decent political leader or party would wish to play with the future of
the people - which is exactly what Kumaratunga has done, and we would
tell the masses just that," he said.
Country's
future at stake
Meanwhile,
PA Spokesman, Dr. Sarath Amunugama said that the alliance between the PA
and the JVP has been in the pipeline for long enough, and the
announcement of polls should not have come as such a huge surprise.
"The country's future is at stake. That's why we had to make a
rallying call to all groups who had national interest at heart. The JVP
is a strong political party and together we could make this country
prosper," he enthused.
Dr.
Amunugama also said that the UNF has been a complete failure when it
came to administration and even the much touted peace process has been
thoroughly flawed. "The new alliance too would be committed to
negotiated peace. We have set out our separate stances in our memorandum
of understanding. Hence, the people can have faith that the new alliance
would also pursue peace through a dialogue process, but with more
responsibility and with national interests at heart," he added.
Meanwhile,
the PA's new ally, the Janatha Vimukthi Peramuna (JVP) refused to make
any comment to The Sunday Leader, adding that they did not wish to speak
to the newspaper under any circumstances.
Can
Sri Lanka afford elections now?
By
Ann Nicholas
With
a whopping Rs. 1 billion to be expended on the general election
scheduled for April 2, the question that needs to be answered is whether
the country could afford such a costly election at this juncture.
However,
analysts feel that three months of uncertainty running up to the
elections is also likely to cost the country more than the actual cost
of holding it. The cost of delayed investment decisions as a result of
investors adopting a 'wait and see' policy is likely to exceed the
direct rupee cost of the general election process.
Speaking
to The Sunday Leader, Chief Executive Officer, Frontier Research, Amal
Sanderatne stated, "The real impact of the elections is the 'wait
and see' attitude towards the election outcome and the general dampening
of investor and consumer sentiment. The cost of delayed decisions will
be higher than the actual cost of the election as a whole."
Strain
on the 'marketable' image of Sri Lanka
It
is preposterous to deny that the holding of elections at this point of
time, adding to the stalled peace process and failure of a consensus
between the powers that be, has caused some strain on the 'marketable'
image of the country for potential foreign investment. Especially in the
tourism industry, where large sums of money have been invested in order
to promote Sri Lanka as a tourism destination, the country is likely to
lose its bargaining power.
As
customary in the run up to all elections held in this country, political
parties would continue to make unrealistic promises. As a result, the
months following elections will see a rise in the expectations of the
people from the government. As experienced on previous occasions,
analysts were of the opinion that this will cause pressure on the budget
and also affect interest rates and add to inflation.
However,
given the situation prevailing in the country since November 3, 2003
onwards following the President's takeover of three vital ministries,
analysts feel that it will have only three more months of uncertainty to
contend with - this, in Sanderatne's opinion, is "far better than
another year of continually failed attempts at cohabitation or reaching
a consensus."
He
went on to say, "From an economic point of view, while the
elections will have adverse affects, it will be favourable to the
economy in the long-term, if the uncertainty in the political situation
can be overcome to a certain extent."
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Police
at full strength
With
election fever hitting the island, many aspects now need to be
looked into. History of local polls in the country show that
murder and mayhem play a lead role in any election. With the
political scenario heating up, local election monitors fear that
this time round too, elections would surely be bloody and violent.
Speaking
to The Sunday Leader, Inspector General of Police (IGP), Indra de
Silva stated that the deployment of police during elections has
not yet been decided. Explaining further, de Silva stated that in
some instances the deployment of constables depend on orders made
by the Elections Commissioner, who has so far not done so.
De
Silva pointed out that election deployment is categorised into
three sections - pre-elections, elections and post-elections. The
pre-election deployment includes the day of nominations and the
campaign leading upto elections. According to de Silva, the police
is all set for nomination deployments, adding that they now have
to look at the campaigning time and the rest to follow.
De
Silva noted that deploying police constables would not be easy as
they would have to look at three elections in a very short time.
"We would also have to safeguard election laws other than the
normal laws," de Silva said.
However,
according to de Silva, the police will deploy its full strength
for elections. The police has already opened a information book
for election complaints and a special unit would tend to these
complaints.
According
to de Silva, the police is preparing for the elections in
consultation with the Elections Commissioner.
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"Country's
development hampered" - G.L. Peiris
The
current political instability and President Chandrika
Kumaratunga's 'undemocratic' actions will seriously hamper the
country's development with foreign aid promised being delayed as a
result said Cabinet Spokesman Prof. G.L. Peiris. He warned that
the country's predicament was such that it ran the serious risk of
failing to attract foreign aid as the country no longer has the
Rehabilitation, Reconstruction and Refugees Ministry.
He
went on to say that the country has already lost millions of
dollars - US$ 51 million for the development of Hambantota and
Moneragala areas and altogether up to US$ 184 million pledged for
the development of the crucial plantation sector.
Economic
Reforms Minister, Milinda Moragoda on Wednesday resigned his
cabinet portfolio in protest of the President's action to dismiss
39 non cabinet ministers.
Prof.
G. L. Peiris however maintained that the cabinet has so far not
made any decision to hand in their resignations to protest the
President's actions, but added that things could change in the
future.
However,
according to Prof. Peiris, the mood of the cabinet is upbeat even
after Moragoda's resigning. He said that the cabinet has
confidence in the intelligence of the people, as such that the
government had faith in the people whether the President has acted
with their interest at heart or simply pursued her desire to
capture political power.
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* *
Peter
Harold speaks out...
As
the country prepares itself to face yet another general election,
the political instability in the country is a causing considerable
concern to the international donor community. While the negative
impact caused during the past three months has held back some
foreign investors from coming in, it has also slowed the US$ 4.5
billion pledged at the Tokyo donor confab last year from reaching
the country.
Speaking
to The Sunday Leader, Country Head, World Bank, Peter Harold
stated that the funds kept coming in, but not as much as expected
earlier. He also noted that the impact the present situation would
have on the country and investors should have been taken into
consideration when making decisive decisions.
Following
are excerpts from the interview:
Q:
Do you think that there was any need for President Kumaratunga to
dissolve parliament and call for snap polls in the present
context?
A:
It is a political decision we don't take. We hoped that the
government and the President could reach a working relationship.
However, it is not a judgment for us to make. Right now, someone
has made a decision. The international community kept urging the
government and the President to resolve the matter and work
together. But now, a decision has been made.
Q:
What sort of impact could this 'decision' have on the country as
far as the donor community is concerned?
A:
There could be several impacts. One aspect is the fear that fiscal
control would be lost. With millions of rupees allocated to be
spent on elections, the country should make sure that there is
sufficient financial control. If not, it could result in a serious
fiscal deficit. Otherwise, there would have to be some serious
adjustments. As we remember the last time, in 2002, it was not
that pleasant.
The
second would be political violence. I'm not personally aware of
the violence that is generally associated with polls in this
island as this would be my first election in Sri Lanka, but I'm
told that there's a lot of violence. Economic prosperity of a
country depends on its image. However, Sri Lanka was doing well
with building its image with the ongoing peace process and that
augured much hope.
The
last time when a politically disturbing situation occurred, on
November 4 when the President took over three portfolios, the
country suffered some negative publicity.
The
international community watching foreign media reports were
disturbed as they watched pictures of state media organisations
being guarded by armed forces.
The
country does not need those images to be part of its real image.
Unlike 20 years ago, with the peace process, Sri Lanka is in the
limelight. There is renewed interest in this island of yours.
At
such an instance, people seeing pictures of mobs going crazy at
political rallies, churches being attacked, priests being
attacked, etc. is not going to be good, as it would create a
negative impact.
The
third aspect is that the current situation in the country should
not have an impact on the ceasefire. We have confidence on that
issue. Even Anton Balasingham has clearly stated that they would
hold on to the peace process. The ceasefire could be violated even
by an accident. Therefore, the political parties concerned should
get together and come to an agreement.
Q:
Will the present situation have an impact on investors?
A:
Capital they say, is a coward. People believe that entrepreneurs
are risk takers, but it is the opposite. They are very cautious.
If there is political instability, they do not come forward to
invest.
What
took place in November has already done it. Since then, the market
too has been volatile. It has also demonstrated the fact that we
are dealing with a very thin market. A slight change in the mood
fluctuates the market and creates a huge impact.
Political
uncertainty is the biggest barrier in investments. When the
Mano-Malik committee met, the stock market went up and when they
didn't meet thereafter, it plummeted.
Q:
What will happen to the US$ 4.5 billion promised at the Tokyo
donor confab?
A:
There are three aspects to be taken into consideration. First,
there are the ongoing projects, which will continue and nobody has
even hinted that there is any intention to halt them in the
future.
The
second is that it got slowed down when the peace process slackened
along with and the postponement of some economic reforms that were
considered vital. There is no disaster, but there is not much
funds coming in or at least not as much as was hoped.
The
third aspect is that some types of funding simply cannot happen
under a caretaker government. There is no parliament to seek
approval from. If a particular credit line depends on
parliamentary approval, it won't happen in a situation like this.
It
is not a case of the Tokyo money being lost. The commitment was
for a period of four years. So there's time to catch up. However,
time is of essential importance.
Out
of the money pledged, close to US$ 1 billion has already been
released by 2003. Out of the US$ 1 billion, close to US$ 300
million came as programme funds and about US$ 700 million as
project support (budgetary support). That means roughly US$ 60
million came to Sri Lanka as project assistance.
The
fact is that there cannot be any budgetary support until the polls
are conducted and completed. However, the rate of disbursement
would be lower than 2003 as the budgetary support would be
affected.
Money
is important, but it is not the most important thing. What is
considered most important is the political certainty to make
things work. As far as Sri Lanka is considered, a renewed peace
process to pursue lasting peace, economic reforms, local
investments, etc., are more important than the money from Tokyo. |
Call
to increase female representation
By
Sehan Soyza
In
the most resent census taken by the government, the long held belief
that in Sri Lanka women outnumber men was proven to be true. Another
general election is due to be held on April 2 and an election is meant
to reflect the aspirations of the people and the people's right to elect
their representatives to work on their behalf.
In
a recent press communiqu‚ issued by the Sri Lanka Women's NGO Forum,
it is alleged that Sri Lanka's large majority is going unheard. Hence,
the NGO Forum is agitating for a quota system to encourage women to take
part in politics.
Worst
in South Asia
According
to the women's organisation, the Sri Lankan record for women's
representation in political and decision-making processes is the worst
in South Asia. The collective has further added, "For a country
which declares itself to be a socialist democratic state, which is
placed at a high level by the UNDP in its Human Development Indicator
Measurement, it is unacceptable that throughout the 55 years of
independence, women have comprised less than 5% at all levels of
government -local government, provincial councils and parliament."
They
have strongly urged all political parties to include a minimum of 30%
women in the nomination lists submitted for the general elections in
April 2004, in their statement issued last week.
They
also allege that in all political party hierarchies, often controlled
almost exclusively by men, there is a move to stymie women's political
representation at the level of nominations, a fact manifested in the
nominations submitted for the general elections of 2000 which had only
2.3% of women candidates.
These
organisations believe that political parties are reluctant to share
'power' in the real sense with women, hence the refusal to accommodate
more women candidates.
They
also claim that the Tamil United Liberation Front (TULF), one of the
premier Tamil political parties in the country, has not nominated a
single female to enter parliament in the history of parliamentary
elections.
When
asked whether the TULF was averse to the concept of having female
parliamentarians, senior TULF Member Joseph Pararajasingham clarified
that the party was not prejudicial with regard to women candidates. He
said that the problem lay elsewhere and not with those approving
nominations.
Social
attitudes
According
to him, Tamil women generally refrain from politics because of social
attitudes of the community towards women engaged in politics. When asked
whether a quota system could be introduced to encourage women to
participate more fully in politics, Pararajasingham stated that so far
the party has not considered such a proposal but added that there is
opportunity to adopt such a resolution at the party executive level if a
request is made.
It
is not just the TULF that has such a bad track record in accommodating
female candidates. Activists are alleging that other parties including
the two main political parties are equally culpable of insufficiently
including women on their national lists and paving the way for women to
contest polls.
According
to these activists who are once more urging all political parties to
provide for sufficient female representation, the practice of political
parties have been to use women in election campaigns to gain political
mileage but not to always continue with them or make them true political
decision makers.
Rejecting
the statement outright, PA Spokesman, Dr. Sarath Amunugama said the PA,
particularly its main constituent party the SLFP, was the only party in
the whole of Asia to put forward two women candidates for both offices
of that of the prime minister and president in 1994.
Quota
system
Dr.
Amunugama further said that there was no need for a quota system for
women when they had an executive president to represent them, the
highest political office in the country.
According
to him, the PA paid much attention to the need to accommodate females
and to allow their voices to be expressed as women also formed the
majority of voters, 51% to be exact.
Meanwhile,
UNP Spokesman Gayantha Karunatilleke speaking to The Sunday Leader
stated that the UNP had requested women to come forward to contest.
He
said that the party has never prevented women candidates from seeking
entry to parliament, but noted that the actual problem was the
reluctance on the part of women to come forward.
However,
he added that while the party was committed to encouraging more female
participants in the election battle, the UNP did not believe in creating
a quota as in certain countries such as India.
"We
welcome women candidates and do hope there would be better interest this
time," he said.
However,
the UNP in its 2001 election manifesto pledged to bring in sufficient
women to the fore and to ensure that a minimum of 25% women are
accommodated in all central decision making bodies within three years.
Under the 'Regaining Sri Lanka' policy document, the UNF further
pledged to adopt legislative measures to ensure that all political
parties included 50% of women candidates on their nomination lists for
local government polls as well as national level.
Strong
representations
Women's
groups have also made strong representations to the parliamentary select
committee on electoral reform set up last year, demanding better
opportunity to enter the political power house. The all-party committee
chaired by Dinesh Gunawardena has recommended that one third of all
seats at local, provincial and national government should be reserved
for women.
Gender
equality in political representation is a right enshrined in the UN
Convention on the Elimination of all forms of Discrimination Against
Women (CEDAW), ratified by Sri Lanka in 1981.
Activists
are urging that it is imperative for political parties to recognise and
ensure that there is a clear and public acknowledgement of women's
involvement and contributions in the political sphere through their
equitable inclusion in nomination lists prepared for the forthcoming
polls.
Negative
response from the public
By
Shehan Moses
President
Chandrika Kumaratunga's decision to dissolve parliament four full years
ahead of schedule may be a cause for celebration for her alliance
partners who are eager to taste political power, but to the ordinary
voter, it is nothing but an absolute waste of time and money in addition
to being an imprudent political move.
The
Sunday Leader spoke to some professionals and a cross section of the
general public on how they feel about an election in the present
juncture, and most responded negatively while a few greeted the move as
an opportunity to try out something new.
R.I.T
Alles, a renowned educationist said that elections generally had a
negative impact on the country's student population and often found it
difficult to concentrate on their studies. Alles said that it was
unfortunate that this year too polls are intervening with the GCE
Advanced Level examination. He said that there is a likelihood of these
students losing their concentration with the examinations likely to be
held in phases. "When
there is an election, students may listen to the radio and watch TV and
all of that could distract them from their studies. Besides their
schedules get interrupted," he added.
"Completely
unnecessary"
Mohamed
Adamaly, a Colombo-based lawyer said that Sri Lanka could not afford an
election due to the high cost involved and declared it was completely
unnecessary at the present moment.
Adamaly
believes that there should be cooperation between the main political
parties instead of announcing polls every time there is some political
problem. "What is required today is a concerted effort by all
parties concerned to resolve the national crisis rather than holding
polls which would eventually divide the people. Furthermore, it would
certainly prevent the two main parties from coming together to work on a
national agenda," he noted.
A
doctor who did not wish to be named said that the decision to go for an
election stemmed from political expediency than national interest. He
noted that both main political parties could have come to an amicable
settlement through the Mano-Malik committee and worked out a common
programme to solve the present political crisis rather than go for an
expensive election. He emphasised that polls right now would be a waste
of national resources in addition to creating a platform for election
related violence. "What benefit is there for the poor voting
public?" he queried.
Research
Manager, HNB Stock Brokers, Hasita Premaratne said that an election
would cost large amounts of money and would not benefit the country.
However, he said that it would be vastly beneficial if the polls create
a strong and stable government. He noted that the two main political
parties might not be in a position to form a government without the help
of the minority parties with the possibility of parties such as the TNA
increasing their parliamentary seats.
Flawed
decision
President,
Private Omnibus Operators' Association, Gemunu Wijeratne claimed that
the President's decision to call for fresh polls was a flawed one.
Wijeratne said that the country would be thrown 10 years backward in
economic development owing to an election that has been thrust upon the
people.
Namal,
a university student said that an election is required at this moment,
as the UNF government has devastated the country, both politically and
economically. He said that there was no peace process in the country,
and that what was being traded at the negotiating table was the
country's sovereignty.
"What
could the President do but intervene? Else she would have failed in her
duty towards 19 million people," he said.
Sampath,
a three-wheeler driver was of the opinion that the UNF government
largely due to its privatisation programme has ruined the country. He
noted that the President should have dissolved parliament and gone for
an election sometime ago and not waited this long.
Speaking
to The Sunday Leader, Jayalath, a retail shop owner said that the
country is unable to bear the cost of this election. He said that the
dissolution was done at the behest of outside forces that have now
formed a political alliance with her party, the PA. He also feared that
his business would collapse due to the bad socio-economic conditions
stemming from the country's economic instability.
PAFFREL
gears up to ensure free and fair election
By
Jamila Najmuddin
While
the country gears for polls, President Chandrika Kumaratunga has
appointed a special crime prevention committee to avoid election
violence in the country.
While
50 deaths were reported in 2001 due to election violence, 100
international monitors are expected to arrive in the country after March
23 to monitor the upcoming election and ensure it is held in a free and
fair manner.
Election
monitors
Speaking
to The Sunday Leader, Chief Executive, People's Action for Free and Fair
Elections (PAFFREL), Kingsley Rodrigo stated that PAFFREL has contacted
the Asian Network for Free Elections, and 100 election monitors will be
sent by them from all parts of the world.
"We
currently have 14 monitors in the country but they are presently in
Ampara to observe the local government elections which are due to be
held on February 21," Rodrigo said.
He
further stated that PAFFREL has informed the President that the
candidates contesting for the upcoming elections should be 'suitable'
candidates.
"We
have informed the President that candidates should be suitable so that
the public can be satisfied in voting for them. They basically should
not be underworld leaders," added Rodrigo.
'Citizen
committees' are also to be formed in districts, and they would
mandatorily consist of religious dignitaries. These committees are
expected to work with PAFFREL to prevent the eruption of political
violence.
"General
elections or presidential elections have to be held all over the island
as everyone has the right to vote," stated Rodrigo. Similarly,
PAFFREL will also deploy its observers in all the areas where polls are
to be conducted.
Citizen
committees
Rodrigo
further stated that citizen committees would be appointed in the north
and east as well, and this time, people in refugee camps also might have
the opportunity to vote.
Speaking
to The Sunday Leader, President, Sarvodaya, Dr. A.T. Ariyaratna stated
that the upcoming general elections could jeopardise the existing
ceasefire agreement.
"An
election at this time is unnecessary as leaders should have solved their
differences without going into elections. The candidates elected for the
upcoming elections should be decent human beings with no criminal
records and no connections to with the underworld. We should have good
men elected as ministers. Men going around squandering government
property and misusing government property should not be elected,"
added Ariyaratna.
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