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Runaway
Train
The
loyal readers of The Sunday Leader could be forgiven for
collectively drawing in their breath and casting a censorious
glance at Ye Ed, at having to read through yet another tirade
of editorial censure directed at both government and
opposition. As Sri Lankans, the fact is we have all become a
pretty disgruntled lot, and there is precious little the
government or, for that matter, their loyal opposition could
do - short of drowning themselves in the Beira Lake - that
will gruntle us.
Whenever
lots are drawn, it is a pathetic irony that Sunny Sri Lanka
must draw the short one. Tales of woe abound, and all the
indicators point to one grim fact: we are set for a rough
ride. As merry an indicator as it might be, one of the best
yardsticks of popular contentment is the sale of beer. When
the menfolk gather of a Sunday afternoon to bend an elbow
terminating in a pint of golden lager, it seems that the
nation as a whole is smiling. But, for the first time in two
years, the Lion Brewery now reports that their sales are
stagnant, a statistic they (with a century of experience
behind them) interpret readily to reflect a high degree of
public discontent. The nation is not as chirpy as Chandrika
Kumaratunga and Wimal Weerawansa would like it to be. Grim
faces abound; sullen looks are cast willy-nilly; and the dark
muttering of discontent is abroad.
Other
democracies have people whose job it is to give ear to public
discontent, foment it, and point it in the way of toppling the
government. Well, if the state's propaganda tells us true,
that ear is resting softly on a pillow in far away Bali, for
that is where Opposition Leader Ranil Wickremesinghe and his
wife Maithri are even now taking a break from the idleness of
political activity (we use the term loosely) in Colombo. While
we do hope they are having the time of their lives, one can't
help hoping that the subject of Mother Lanka does pop into the
conversation from time to time, between those pinacoladas.
With
the UNF opposition (for want of a better word) otherwise
engaged, the alliance government has developed a masterful
means of ruling while yet divided. The principal partners of
the alliance, the SLFP and the JVP, disagree on just about
everything except their unmitigated greed for power. The SLFP
wants to give the LTTE an interim government, the JVP does
not. The SLFP keeps increasing the cost of living thanks to
unending price hikes, the JVP appeals (with unbounded
futility, of course) against these. The SLFP wants to give MPs
spanking new luxury vehicles, the JVP says it shouldn't (but
if they do, could they have a few, please?).
The
JVP has thus decided to craft for itself an identity separate
from the government, making it clear while they disagree with
almost everything the Kumaratunga administration does and
seeks to do, they remain as part of the alliance only to
prevent it from being worse. No doubt that convoluted logic
has at least some of Sri Lanka nodding its head in
acquiescence, for some mothers do have 'em a bit dim. But the
falsity of the JVP's logic does not seem to have sunk home to
the UNP, for the opposition itself is doing precious little to
point the government in the right way, even while it is closer
to home than Bali.
It
is a pleasure nowadays to meet up with core members of the UNP.
Just about all they seem to talk about is how weak their
leadership is, and how much they would like to see more
dynamism at the top. These strictures, it seems, may only be
articulated to third parties, and they either do not tell
their leader, or their leader does not hear. Either way, they
need to do something, even if only taking elocution classes or
buying their leader a hearing aid, to ensure that the SLFP-JVP
alliance is presented with some credible opposition. Yet,
there hasn't been a pip out of the pipsqueaks of the UNP's
working committee, whose eloquence shines only in the cocktail
circuit where the single-malt flows freely.
Never
before has an opposition had more to crow about. Spiralling
prices, a deadlocked parliament, a President whose younger
brother makes a perpetual fool of himself, a crashing rupee,
frozen donor funding, unbounded unemployment, falling
industrial output and, to cap it all, would you believe, a
minority government. And what, pray, is the UNF's reply? A
spanking new pensioner for a general secretary (no holiday in
Bali for him). Far from moulding itself into a dynamic
opposition, the UNF has set about establishing a home for the
politically impaired and hard of hearing.
As
it was also in 2001, the UNP's strategy, it seems, is merely
to stay alive until government falls into its lap. It does not
take Nostradamus to tell us we are in for a winter of
discontent. The private sector, having seen the writing on the
wall, has already begun to tighten its belt. Entertainment
allowances have been slashed, new recruitment frozen, and
every penny watched. The captains of industry are as good as
the next man when it comes to knowing that hard times are
ahead. Yet, the alliance government has set about borrowing
from Peter to pay Paul, an ecclesiastic economy that might do
very well in the world to come, but never seems to have found
favour in this one.
While
the UNP is living on borrowed time, the alliance is living on
borrowed money. The result has been that lending rates are on
the way up, bank loans even less affordable than they were
before, and money circulation heavily curtailed. We are not
quite at the point at which Kumaratunga's mother left
government in 1977, when the poor were scouring dustbins for
their next meal, but that is most certainly where we are
headed.
Almost
six months in office, the alliance has got nowhere (remember,
the UNF government had been in office for less than four times
as long, when Kumaratunga torpedoed it in November last year).
No projects have got underway, no foreign investment
attracted, and no jobs found except within government, which
basically is the same as paying the unemployed a dole from
taxpayers' money.
As
much as we might sound like those prophets of doom, the grim
truth has to be told. Few like to hear it, of course, but
there is little we can do about that. The alliance government
is like a runaway train careening down a slope, hopelessly out
of control. Just when it will jump the tracks remains to be
seen. But jump it will, making Sri Lanka a sadder place for us
all to live. And we have no one to thank for it than an
opposition that just won't rise from its slumber and do the
job it is paid to do by the tax payers.
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