UNP International
Affairs Secretary and Colombo District
Parliamentarian, Ravi Karunanayake insists
that the 28% inflation recorded by the
country is an induced inflation brought on
by the government through bad policies. "The
unnecessary subsidies created, the colossal
unwanted expenditure like that of Mihin Air
and the extra expenditure on ministers
maintained by the government directly
reflect on the cost of living," he said in
an interview with The Sunday Leader.
Excerpts.
By Mandana Ismail Abeywickrema
Q: What prospects do you see of the cost
of living burden easing in the next few
months given the escalating prices of
essential items?
A: Frankly I don’t think that
consumers would get any relief in the short
run and neither in the medium. The situation
can only get worse than better.
Q: The government at the beginning of the
year said that prices of goods would
stabilise by April. However, the government
has on earlier occasions given such
deadlines to reduce prices, which never
happened. Now the prices of essential items
have seen almost a 100% increase since last
April. How do you see this?
A: These answers were not given a
year ago; they have been given from the time
they assumed office for the past four years.
From the time they came through the
Chandrika Kumaratunga and Mahinda Rajapakse
administrations, they have given various
headlines with deadlines without any actual
occurrence. The 100% increase is on certain
items. Others have gone up by as much as
300%. On that score, I don’t think that the
government that has been unable from 1994 to
constrain the increases or come up with
ideas to overcome the situation in the short
and medium term could give solace to the
people.
Q: The country is now faced with a rice
shortage as well as sky-rocketing rice
prices. The crisis faced by the country has
further deepened with other countries in the
region deciding not to export rice. How do
you think the government could overcome this
situation?
A: Now that they have mishandled the
situation, they can only turn to ordering
the next batch. Rice is not something that
can be grown overnight and it cannot be
brought down before the New Year. The
problem of this government is that they
think everything can be sorted by shouting
and be controlled through regulations. That
has been the major failure of this
government.
The government knows the annual
consumption and the annual production and
from that they could see if there is an
increase or a deficit. Knowing clearly that
there is a deficit they do nothing. On the
other hand they also discourage the
consumption of bread, which can be a
substitute, by increasing prices and there
is a yawning gap between production and
demand and it is obvious that you have to be
ready for it. These fundamentals have been
ignored and they think that prices can still
be maintained.
My feeling is that it is not done by
default, it is done by design. I guess there
are people in the middle taking undue
advantage of the situation. Otherwise there
is a buffer stock in the country. Why is it
not utilised? All this shows that this
situation was not created overnight but by
design to create chaos.
This government also said that they have
to protect the local producers. They
ridiculed the UNP claiming we ignored the
farmers and did not give the fertiliser
subsidy. They came and gave subsidies worth
Rs. 22 billion to the farmers. Where has it
all gone?
The highest recorded paddy production was
in 2003 during the UNP period — 3.1 million
mt. Now, with the Rs. 22 billion given on
subsidies for fertiliser, there has not been
an increase. The production in 2007 has been
somewhere between 3.2-3.3 million mt, so
where has the Rs. 22 billion subsidy gone
where production is concerned?
Consumer Affairs Minister Bandula
Gunawardena leaves for Mayanmar in search of
rice to import to the country just a few
days before the April New Year. This would
not help reduce the prices as it would take
time for the country to receive the
shipment. Therefore the people cannot expect
a decline in rice prices this New Year.
Q: The rising prices are said to be a
result of the global market prices. However,
other countries in the region that are also
involved in importing the same items have
not faced a crisis like in Sri Lanka and
maintain low inflation levels. How do you
respond to this scenario?
A: India, which was recording a 4-5%
level of inflation, recorded a peak of 7%
and that is what they call inflation.
Indonesia is roughly 8.5% and it is not a
country that has very good financial
discipline. The Maldives has recorded an
inflation level of 1.5%, Singapore 2% and
Malaysia 3.1%. How is it that Sri Lanka has
28%? Sri Lanka’s 28% comes after certain
commodities have been taken out of the
market basket.
It is simply due to the absolute
mismanagement of the economy. The Central
Bank is there to stabilise prices, but they
are doing politics. The Finance Secretary
has been running the Ministry for the last
14 years, less two years — has there been
any benefit? I’m mentioning this because
otherwise, it is a heinous crime on us. They
should be held responsible for misguiding
and taking the government on the wrong path.
I sometimes don’t blame the politicians
because they are guided by bureaucrats who
massage the egos of the politicians. They
are the ones that need to be taken to task.
Money is printed due to the deficit in
government revenue and expenditure, and it
is that impact that is being felt now.
The unnecessary subsidies created and the
extra expenditure on ministers maintained by
the government are a direct reflection on
the cost of living. The other fact is the
unwanted expenditure like that of Mihin Air.
They are contributory factors. These are the
things that create inflation.
This is an induced inflation by the
government through bad policies. Otherwise
how can other countries in the region
maintain low inflation while Sri Lanka
records double-digit inflation? It is
because of the breakdown of the economic
order in the country.
Q: Consumer Affairs Minister Bandula
Gunawardena was earlier quoted in an
interview saying that the government had to
print money to fund its expenses, especially
defence and the wages of the new employees
to the public sector and that printing money
would be the only alternative to fund
government expenditure. This would propel
the level of inflation to increase further.
How do you think the country’s economy would
react to such a situation?
A: There is a general picture shown
by the Central Bank that printing money is
basically not inflation. We concur with this
view to some extent. If certain notes
circulating in the country are damaged and
money is printed in lieu of it that is no
issue. If you have assets to back the
liabilities, then that is not an issue.
But if the government revenue is short
and the government temporarily starts
borrowing from the Central Bank and prints
money in order to overcome the expenditure,
that is what drives inflation. When there is
a deficit between government revenue and
expenditure and the bank prints money to
meet it, that is inflation.
I see a huge distortion campaign carried
out by the Central Bank to ensure their bad
management is protected and projected in a
different way. Last year they printed Rs. 44
billion. The bank has approved that. Now it
varies between 35-40 billion at a given
moment simply to bridge the deficit.
Q: How much money do you think the
government will have to print to meet its
expenses?
A: They can either print money or put
the burden on the people. They do both and
blame everything on the war. What
relationship does the expenditure on the war
have on rice production? The war does not
have a relationship with any other domestic
issue. Therefore it clearly shows that it is
an economic breakdown.
When you have high levels of inflation
going on for months, it has a galloping
effect. That is what we are faced with. If
you see, the same Central Bank Governor in
2006 said that the budget would cure the
inflation problem. But it only got worse.
In 2007, he said that he would ensure
that inflation would be brought down to a
single digit, it became worse. Now he is
saying it will continue to be double digits.
I only hope it won’t go to triple digits.
Q: The rising cost of living has led to a
deterioration in the people’s purchasing
power. How does the opposition plan to
address the issue?
A: In 2005 during the election, we
said that if the JVP, JHU and the SLFP
alliance came into power, this is what
everyone would have to face. We said that
peace would go to pieces, cost of living
through the roof, Sri Lanka would be
isolated from the world and that there will
be economic disorder. Haven’t all those come
true now? Yes, the people have voluntarily
got this problem on to their heads.
Unfortunately, there is a majority in the
minority that did not vote for the
government and they too have to pay for the
sins committed by some people. As an
opposition, all we can do is to address
these issues and create awareness among the
people that the government was given four
years to get their house in order and they
have no clue as to what governing is and
human suffering is and what international
isolation is. They need to understand that
this is a government run by a few for the
benefit of some at the expense of all.
So all we could do is to get the people
mobilised and tell them that this is
suffering created by choice and not by
chance. We will get the people with us and
say enough is enough. You can fool some
people some time and all the people some
time, but not all the people all the time.
Q: Statistics have revealed disparities
in the wage system in the country. While the
majority of the country’s workforce — nearly
63% — is employed in the private sector, the
private sector has recorded a negative
growth in wages since 2005. The public
sector employees have recorded a somewhat
positive growth in wages. Given this
scenario, could you say that the government
has actually worked to uplift the standards
of the working masses?
A: No absolutely not. There is a
distortion in both. If you look at the
private sector, it has got a negative
return. The public sector has had a rupee
increase but the purchasing power has
reduced. I asked a question in parliament on
Samurdhi beneficiaries. Comparing the Rs.
1000 in 2004 with its value in 2007. The
answer that was given was that it is Rs.
560.
You could see that from 2004 to date, in
three years it has reduced so much. Where is
the public sector? Has a public sector
worker received a salary increment in line
with it? No. So it is a distortion. Finally,
it is the purchasing power of the people.
The government sector hasn’t, so you can
imagine the suffering of the private sector,
which is absolutely huge.
The government uses the per capita income
for everything. The per capita being high is
true. You could basically take the total
income and 10 people can get 10 million
dollars per person and the others can get $2
per person, but when you average it, they
will say a person gets $1600. What $1600
dollars means is that you are receiving
roughly Rs. 15,000 per month. Does a police
constable get that?
So where is this per capita distribution.
This is like a drunkard using a lamp post to
stand; the government is using statistics
that are self-created in order to stand on
its feet.
Inflation is 28%, interest rates are 22%,
government borrowings are at a giddy level
where Rs. 44 billion was printed. Total
government revenue is about Rs. 741 billion
and government debt and amortisation is Rs.
855 billion, so the revenue is not even
enough to cover one aspect — the debt
repayment of the country.
So where is the money to spend on the
people? You have to tax. With the Fiscal
Responsibility Act being disregarded all we
can say is that this is like a Rs. 2.50
balloon being blown to the size of a Rs. 10
balloon.
From 1948 till 2003 when the UNF
government was in power governments have
borrowed Rs. 1863 billion in total. From
2004 to date, the country’s debt has gone up
to Rs. 3489 billion, which is twice the debt
recorded between 1948 and 2003. This alone
shows the magnitude of the economic
mismanagement and its impact.
Q: Minister G.L. Peiris has accused the
UNP of working hand in glove with the LTTE
to deprive Sri Lanka of the GSP Plus
facility. What is the UNP’s position?
A: Knowing Prof. G.L. Peiris, I’m
sure it is not he who has told it and people
would have got him to say that. I believe
him to be a person of honour and dignity and
I don’t think he would openly write like
this knowing what the circumstances would
be.
He and I, under the instructions of
former Prime Minister Ranil Wickremesinghe
are the ones who got the labour GSP. We know
how difficult it was, what good governance
is and how human rights need to be
protected. Human rights had to be protected
and as a result we made a case with the CFA
and said that we needed the facility as a
country that needed to develop.
When we received it for a period of three
years, it was not given on a platter and it
is something we have to earn. I was pretty
surprised to hear that Prof. Peiris has said
that the UNP was working in connivance with
the LTTE. If the LTTE was so in love with
the UNP then why did they prevent the Tamils
in the north and east from voting at the
2005 election that caused Ranil
Wickremesinghe to loose?
Is this a sellable story anymore? A
person of his calibre should ensure that
these things are not given in a wrong
manner. So I still feel that it is not Prof.
Peiris who has said this. I’m telling that
because I respect him. He and I worked
together to get this facility and owing to
Wickremesinghe’s move to bring in the CFA we
got the benefit.
The industry comes and tell us one thing
and the government another. Why can’t they
stand their ground? We call upon the people
to ask — on the one hand they ask for salary
increments, but first protect the labour GSP,
which is the government’s duty. They are
called upon to accept international
covenants; the protocols have been signed by
us. Who brought this in? It was Prof. Peiris.
In 1995 President Kumaratunga
congratulated him and Lakshman Kadirgamar
for bringing in the international protocols
and signing the covenants that have been
administered. Now the same minister is
saying we do not need to do this because it
is already in the constitution. Did he not
realise it when he brought it?
This needs to be exposed. The JVP, JHU
and the SLFP stand naked, as it is their
blatant violations that have led to this. We
have not politicised the issue, if we did so
we would be holding placards at Lipton
Circus.
The vile accusation is only to ensure
that their internal battles are pushed on
the UNP. Not only garments, but many other
industries also benefit from the GSP Plus.
So far only Sri Lanka and Mongolia have the
facility. But other countries too are
fighting for it, so we have to show that we
deserve it.
Q: How do you see the prospects of the
UNP-SLMC combine at the Eastern Provincial
Council poll and what are the challenges you
foresee?
A: I hope, pray and sincerely think
that the entire country is looking at the
eastern people to see that they get what
they deserve. The people have been
hoodwinked, robbed and the country has been
taken astray. The eastern people are the
fabric of Sri Lankan society. It is made up
of Sinhalese, Tamils, Muslims, Burghers and
Malays. The three districts in the province
show that. I hope that the rest of the
country would look at the easterners as
saving the country when they give a
resounding victory to the UNP and the SLMC.
We are contesting under one common symbol —
the elephant and this is a move forward. I
hope and pray that this will help save Sri
Lanka.