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The urge to merge is
also a planetary threat

Shrill
voices of world leaders are heard today
about the various threats imperilling the
planet and existence of human civilisation.
The latest threat that is sounded is of
biofuels that use food meant for consumption
of people for conversion into industrial
fuels.
Whether this new form of
alternative fuel to fossil fuels proves to
be the threat it poses for humanity as
claimed or whether international oil
companies want to demonise it for obvious
purposes, will be seen later. However there
are other forces which have been proved to
lead to drastic environmental disasters such
as global warming.
Nanci Pelossi, the Speaker
of the US House of Representatives writing
in The Economist special issue The
World In 2008 says: ‘Global warming is a
fact not theory and has the potential to
reshape our planet for all generations to
come The catastrophic consequences of
unchecked climate change are clear: severe
weather, coastal flooding, droughts,
ecosystem disruption due to heat waves,
storms, infectious diseases and pollution.
The impact of global warming will hit
hardest those in the poorest nations.’
Viral diseases
There are other factors
which imperil the planet such as emergence
of new viral disease such as AIDS that are
killing millions, mosquito proliferated
diseases, fatal diseases such as dengue and
bird flu. Man made disasters: oil spills in
the seas, deforestation of habitats of
endangered species resulting in climate
change, soil erosion, pollution of rivers
and drinking water, chemical pollution and
innumerable other factors plague the
environment.
Overpopulation
Strangely one factor which
is perhaps the contributing cause of all
these devastating factors is not receiving
as much attention today as it did in the
’60s and ’70s: over population.
The basic reason for the
devastation of the environment is that vast
numbers of people for over half a century
have been exploiting the limited resources
of this planet and polluting it beyond
sustainable limits.
In the ’60s the threat of
overpopulation loomed large. A book which
stirred the imagination of concerned people
at that time, The Population Bomb by
Paul Erlich said the population explosion
was the greatest long term threat facing the
human race. But now it is rarely mentioned
even when issues such as global warming are
discussed.
Today China and India are
the biggest polluters of carbon emissions
that cause global warming. They also have
the biggest populations in the world, both
over one billion people. In frantic efforts
to bring up the living standards of their
people to those of industrially advanced
countries, they are polluting not only the
atmosphere but rivers and seas not caring
much about the damage caused to the global
environment.
Equally guilty
It is also true that those
nations with far less populations such as
the United States, Japan and some European
nations are as guilty of the same offence.
But these nations point out to the Chinese
and Indian emissions calling for a
tit-for-tat policy on pollution control.
To the credit of China they
have been imposing a policy of limiting
their progeny to one child per couple. China
however is an authoritarian communist
country but in India which is a chaotic
democracy it’s a free for all.
Why the world has stifled
its voice on population growth may be due to
many reasons. The rate of growth of the
global population having reached its peak in
1963 of 2.2 per cent has halved. By the
’70s, a woman on an average gave birth to
five children but now in most developing
countries where the birth rates were as
high, it has come down to an average of 2.1
child per woman — almost zero growth.
But that does not mean that
the populations will decrease in the
foreseeable future. The parents, thanks to
improved medical standards will continue to
live as the grand children grow up and
perhaps live even when grand children
produce children.
Some time more to stabilise
Thus, demographers say that
it will take about two generations for the
population to stabilise. The world
population in 2008 is estimated at 6.1
billion and it is estimated to reach nine
billion by 2050.
According to the CIA Fact
Book of 2005 - 2006, the human
population increased by 203,800 every day.
By 2007 this increased to 211,090 every day.
The question to be posed to
environmentalists is whether the world will
be able to sustain even this reduced rate of
growth? Those Sri Lankans now in their 60s
will realise how congested and unliveable
this country has become over the past half a
century. ‘Sri Lanka paradise is no more’
despite our population density being
comparatively low — 306 persons per sq km as
against India’s 304, UK 251 and Bangladesh’s
1,035.
Shortages
We are experiencing a power
shortage, water shortage, food shortage and
land shortage while roads, buses and trains
are jammed. We experienced a job shortage
but now it is claimed that the employment
problem has been eased.
The 1971 revolution of
Rohana Wijeweera was aptly described as a
population bomb. My former editor, the late
Denzil Pieris called it a DDT bomb because
the DDT spraying resulted in a drastic drop
in infant mortality that existed in the ’30s
and ’40s. It resulted in a baby boom —
children born in the late ’40s and
thereafter.
Free education and
subsidised food they had, but when it came
to employment they were left high and dry.
It was good enough reasons for them to be
made into terrorists!
Let not the voices against
overpopulation be stifled for religious
reasons or communal reasons. Let not the
urge to merge be a threat to the global
environment and the existence of this
planet.. |