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 Economy

  Borrowing spree continues


JVP sets stage for general strike


Socialist Women's Union protesting
against the rising cost of living
and (inset) K.D. Lalkantha

Countrywide strike on July 10

Govt. beating war drums to drown
criticism

Rs.97 bn of Rs.102 bn revenue
earned through taxes

Govt. attempting to suppress
trade union action

By Mandana Ismail Abeywickrema

Unable to bear the rapidly increasing cost of living any further, the working community is now gearing for an islandwide agitation campaign next month to call for better salaries.

The rising cost of living as a result of high inflation has drastically reduced the purchasing power of the people. "The government has ensured that everything has increased except the salaries of the workers," the workers claim.

The working masses point out that the cost of living index that was 4304 in January 2006 has increased to 6527 by April 2008. This 2223 point increase in the cost of living index, workers say, is reality and cannot be changed by the government by simply changing the index and introducing a new one that understates the figure.

The unbearable increase in the cost of living and the government's inability to resolve the crisis have now compelled the people to take to the streets calling for an increase in salaries, to address the existing salary anomalies in the public sector and also refrain from slashing the fertiliser subsidy offered to farmers.

War drums

The government is beating the war drums to drown all criticism, and to make their voices heard over the din the JVP has announced the date for an island wide general strike, which they say would be held from time to time throughout the next month if the government fails to address issues brought on by the high cost of living and also increase the salaries of public, private and estate sector workers by a minimum of Rs.5,000.

The JVP affiliated National Trade Union Centre (NTUC) comprising of some 400 public, private and estate sector trade unions has said it would launch a countrywide, one-day token strike on July 10 demanding a minimum salary increase of Rs.5,000 in line with the rising cost of living.

JVP Parliamentarian and NTUC President, K.D. Lalkantha said the union was compelled to demand a minimum increase of Rs.5,000, which is an increase from the Rs.3,000 demanded during last year's budget due to the rapid increase in prices of essential goods.

He said according to statistics, a family of five needed at least Rs.31,000 a month to procure day to day essentials.

Lalkantha added that the government should also implement the pledge made to pay Rs.2.50 to each increasing cost of living index point, which the government later scrapped by making a flat payment of Rs.375.

"Although we do not agree with the payment of Rs.2.50, in principle, we want it paid, as it was a pledge made by the government. This government agreed to pay Rs.2.50 for an index point when in 1980 the unions called for a payment of Rs.5 for an index point," Lalkantha said.

No response

"Though we demanded the salary increase from June 1 and wrote a detailed letter to President Mahinda Rajapakse, the government has not responded to it. We have now decided to hold a one-day, countrywide strike on July 10 as the first step to win our demands," he said.

He also said that NTUC did not want to launch a lightning strike given the prevailing situation in the country but decided on the token strike in order to avoid any possible disruption of the war effort.

However, he said that if the government decided to declare July 10 as a public holiday in the manner in which they responded to the teachers' sick note campaign on June 11 and 12, the general strike would be launched the following day.

"If the government decides to grant a holiday to the public sector on July 10, then we will launch the strike the following day. If the government still fails to grant the demands even after the strike we will launch continuous strikes countrywide," he said.

Responding to the charge that trade union action would hinder the government's war effort, Lalkantha said the government is attempting to suppress trade union action and deny workers of their rights by using this excuse.

War fought on public holidays

He said that although Sundays and Poya days were public holidays, the war is fought on such days as well and an island wide strike for one day would therefore not have an impact on the war.

"We were reluctant to take any trade union action earlier due to the prevailing security situation in the country but now the cost of living situation has gone from bad to worse and we cannot keep quiet any longer. Government institutions do not function on public holidays or Sundays. The war will continue uninterrupted even if we go on strike," he said.

In addition to the salary increment of Rs.5,000 for public and private sector employees, NTUC has also demanded an increase in the daily wages of estate workers. They have called for the daily wage which is Rs.290 to be increased to Rs.500.

Amidst the drastic increase in the cost of living index since 2006, the government has also decided to increase transport fares by a massive margin.

"Bus fares have increased by 27.2% while train fares were increased by over 100% and people find these fares unbearably high. Therefore we have been compelled to add a new demand to our campaign, which is that train fares be reduced as the fares have been increased by 100, 200 and 400 percent adding a further burden to the ordinary people," Lalkantha said.

Invitation

NTUC has already extended an open invitation to other trade unions to extend their support to the planned general strike. The first discussion in this regard will be held tomorrow (23) by NTUC.

The government has said that it is unable to grant the requested wage increase.

A senior government minister has said that a wage hike under the present circumstances would push the country into spiral inflation due to wage spiral inflation.

Consumer Affairs Minister Bandula Gunawardena has said that increasing salaries would cause wage spiral inflation.

JVP Parliamentarian and Head, Inter Company Employees Union (ICEU), Wasantha Samarasinghe responding to the government's statement that a wage increase would push the country into a wage spiral inflation scenario, said the problem lay in wrong economic policies and mismanagement of funds.

He told The Sunday Leader that wage spiral inflation was connected with productivity, an area that the government has completely ignored.

"If the government is speaking of spending money only to pay wages then there is a problem, but if it is done in line with increased productivity, then there won't be any wage spiral inflation," he said.

Productivity?

Samarasinghe questioned what measures had been taken by the government to increase productivity.  "All that the government has done is  minimise productivity and waste money. Money is being printed to maintain a large number of ministers and to invest in wasteful endeavours like Mihin Air that has so far incurred a loss of Rs.3.2 billion," he said.

According to Samarasinghe, if the government took measures to reduce the number of ministers and stop  corruption and wastage of state funds,  there would not be any economic issues.

He said that the wrong policies followed by the government had brought on the present economic issues and denying the people a wage hike in line with the rising cost of living would not be the answer to the problem.

"The government has two options. That is to either increase the salaries of the working people or else provide subsidies and ensure that goods and services are provided at a reasonable price," Samarasinghe said.

He also noted that the government has also burdened the people with heavy taxes. "There is no relief for the people. Apart from the high cost of living, the people also have to pay high taxes," he said.

Samarasinghe explained that 95% of the government's revenue was collected through taxes.

Revenue through taxes

"Of the Rs.102 billion earned as revenue in the first few months, Rs.97 billion has been earned through taxes. This is a government that even collects taxes from beggars on the streets," he said.

With the first round of discussion on the July 10 strike scheduled for tomorrow (23), trade unions representing different political views have expressed an interest in extending  their support to the strike.

The government's failure to address the demands forwarded by the unions would result in the country experiencing constant island wide strikes during the month of July.

Estate sector demands wage increase

The estate sector that contributes nearly 15% to the country's economy has been one of the most deprived sectors.

Over 400,000 workers are employed in the sector while the total amount of people dependent on the sector amounts to a massive 1.3 million, says Head, JVP affiliated All Ceylon Estate Workers' Union (ACEWU) and Parliamentarian Ramalingam Chandrasekar.

Chandrasekar told The Sunday Leader that the estate sector workers are the most deprived lot among the country's working masses.

Given the steep increase in the cost of living, Chandrasekar says that estate workers have been compelled to resort to trade union action to win their demand of a wage hike. The demand forwarded by the estate workers is to increase their daily wage to a minimum of Rs. 500.

He explained that the basic salary of an estate worker was Rs.200 per day while it is increased to Rs. 290 per day if the employee works for 25 days. "Most often, they don't get Rs.290," he said.

However, the daily wage of an estate worker is accounted at Rs. 290.

Last increase

Chandrasekar noted that the last wage hike granted to the estate workers was in 2006 according to an agreement signed between the estate workers and the owners and the agreement initially due to be renewed this year has been postponed to next year.

"The agreement was to revise the salaries every two years. Since it was first done in 2006, it was to be taken up for review this year. However, the President, estate owners and the workers held a discussion and decided to put off the revision process till next year. Therefore, the estate workers would not receive the intended wage increase," he said.

However, the rising cost of living has had an adverse impact on the already poverty stricken community.

Black market

According to Chandrasekar, most of the trading in the estate sector happens under the black market system. Therefore, the poor estate workers are forced to purchase goods and services at a higher price. "Wheat flour that is marked at Rs.77 is sold around Rs. 90 and the same applies to rice and other essential items. The cheap rice that is sold in those areas are of low quality and cannot be consumed by the people," he said.

"The estate community is the poorest of the poor. Over 60% of the children and pregnant mothers suffer from malnutrition. In a country that boasts a 93% literacy level, the literacy level in the estate sector is around 50%," Chandrasekar said.

Child workers

He said statistics have also revealed that of the 450,000 odd child workers in the country, 90% hailed from estate sector families. "The unbearable level of poverty has compelled parents to send their children to work at a very young age. These people live under dire conditions. They live in a 8X8 room without electricity and proper sanitary facilities," he said.

Chandrasekar charged that none of the governments that have ruled the country have addressed the issues faced by the estate sector workers. He said that President Mahinda Rajapakse in his Mahinda Chinthana manifesto had many pledges that are yet to be fulfilled.

"Rajapakse even promised to appoint a committee to look into the grievances of the estate sector workers, but none of that has happened," he said.

Therefore, in order to receive a wage increase in line with the rising cost of living, Chandrasekar said the ACEWU, which is a member of the National Trade Union Centre (NTUC) would resort to severe trade union action and support the planned one day general strike next month.

Trade union action

"Since neither the government nor the estate owners have responded to our demand, we are compelled to take action to win the demand. Now most of the government ministers try to wash their hands off the estate sector wage issue by saying it is not up to them, but during elections these people are given various promises by these very same politicians," he added.


Private sector also demands wage increase

The private sector claims that the 6.5 million work force in the private sector has not recorded a positive wage increase despite the rising cost of living.

The Inter Company Employees Union (ICEU) says that the public sector employees receive a minimum salary of Rs.11,730 and the total salary amounts to Rs. 14,500 with the cost of living allowance, while the minimum salary of the private sector stands at Rs. 5,000.

Contribution

ICEU also says that while 75% of the country's work force is employed in the private sector, their contribution to the national economy accounts for more than 80%. The union has further claimed that the government has not taken any steps to increase private sector salaries.

"Bus fares have increased by 25-30%, train fares by 100%-400% and a kilo of a vegetable has increased to over Rs. 100, but the only thing that has not increased is the salaries of the private sector,"  ICEU said.

Monthly requirement

According to ICEU, although the government has taken steps to change the cost of living index to understate statistics, when the value of 2002 stands at 100 points and the market basket calculated at Rs.17,995, a unit is priced at Rs. 179.95. Therefore, a family of four requires Rs.35, 710 on a monthly basis as at end May.

ICEU has extended its support to NTUC's strike action planned for July 10 to demand a wage hike for the private sector.

 


Borrowing spree continues


P. B. Jayasundera and
Ranjith Siyambalapitiya

By Mandana Ismail Abeywickrema

Amidst unstable economic conditions and warnings from credit rating agencies that the country was overly dependent on debt, the Government of Sri Lanka is continuing with its borrowing spree.

The Central Bank recently announced that the country had raised US$ 150 million through a syndicate loan arranged by Standard Chartered Bank.

The bank was awarded the deal on March 7. In April, Fitch Ratings downgraded Sri Lanka's sovereign ratings by a notch to B+ due to weak budgets, high inflation and heavy borrowing from foreign lenders at commercial rates. Standard & Poor's has given Sri Lanka a B+ rating with a 'negative outlook.'

A day after the Central Bank announcement was made on the US$150 million loan, it was reported that the country had also sought investors to buy US$ 200 million worth of bonds.

New instrument

According to the Central Bank, the new securities, known as Sri Lanka Development Bonds, will be offered in maturities ranging from two to five years to local and foreign investors.

It has been said that the proceeds from the offer will be used for development projects that would cover the health, road, airport, education and energy sectors.

The latest move to raise money is yet another borrowing spree by a government that is engaged in heavy defence expenditure. It is predicted that defence expenditure could rise to Rs. 200 billion in 2008.

The government was expected to spend a sum of Rs. 166 billion, which is Rs. 456 million (US$ 4 million) per day on defence and public security this year, which it has been pointed out is a huge amount for a lower middle-income country.

Over the budget

However, going by the earlier defence spending trend since 2006, the government's estimation of Rs. 166 billion for this year would undoubtedly be much higher by year end, especially after the events that have taken place, where for all intents and purposes it has been made clear by both parties full scale war is the only agenda.

According to analysts, if the additional costs such as pensions and disability expenditure on servicemen, and installment payments for military procurements are also taken into consideration, the defence expenditure for 2008 will exceed Rs. 200 billion.

Apart from the defence expenditure, the country is also battling skyrocketing inflation, which is at almost 27% according to a new index introduced to by the government. The new index was put in place of the previous Colombo Consumers' Price Index that recorded a nearly 30% inflation rate in April.

It is amidst all these unsavory conditions that the government has continued with debt-raising measures to fund domestic projects despite a recent warning by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) that it could be headed for a foreign debt crisis.

However, analysts feel that there is no need for the government to raise money in the foreign market given the fact that the country had almost US$ 4.7 billion committed and undisbursed funds for infrastructure projects. Ninety percent of the external borrowings carry a rate of 1.5% interest.

Better terms

"The issue is if there really is a necessity to borrow money three and half times more than the 1.5% rate offered to us. The money we already have is for a period of 25-30 years with a grace period of 10 years," analysts point out.

What is also ironic is that while the Rajapakse government borrows money for what many experts say is recurrent expenditure including salaries, the principal US$ 500 million obtained earlier will have to be repaid in one installment in a period of five years most likely by another government.

The government has also said that it would pay only the interest for five years. The interest will have to be paid once every six months and would come to a massive US$ 200 million.

Such is the repayment scheme of the initial US$ 500 million raised last year. Now with the recent borrowings added on, the country's loan burden would increase significantly with much pressure being placed on the already exhausted state coffers.

Trade deficit widens to US$ 2 billion

The country's trade deficit has widened to more than US$ 2 billion in the first four months of the year with oil imports erasing export gains.

According to Central Bank statistics, imports from January to April have increased to US$ 4.53 billion, up from US$ 3.29 billion in the corresponding period last year.

Exports have seen a marginal growth from US$ 2.23 billion to US$ 2.48 billion.

The bank has further said that despite the trade balance widening 92.4% in the first four months, the overall balance of payments have recorded a surplus of US$ 320 million dollars.

However, the manner in which the overall balance of payments improved has not been stated. Official sources have reportedly said that the better than expected foreign remittances from Sri Lankans migrant workers had seen a big inflow of foreign exchange into the country.

In May, the Central Bank said remittances increased by 23.5% to US$ 752.2 million for the three months to March this year.

The country purchased oil worth US$ 1.11 billion in the first four months of this year, which is a 76.3% increase from US$ 632 million spent in the corresponding period last year.


Nothing to worry says Minister

Finance and Revenue Minister Ranjith Siyambalapitiya says that there is no reason to worry about the foreign borrowings as the country has successfully managed to reduce its debt percentage as against GDP.

He said that the country's debt, which stood at 105% against GDP in 2003 has now been brought down to less than 90%.

According to Siyambalapitiya, the debt is expected to be reduced to 87% by the end of the year.

He said that there was no reason to worry about the borrowings as the country paid a similar amount back as debt repayment.

"There would not be any negative impact on the economy," Siyambalapitiya said, adding that the government had borrowed money solely for development work and not for consumption purposes.


BoC bad loans at Rs. 217 billion in '06

Parliament was informed last week that the total loan outstanding of Bank of Ceylon (BoC) has increased from Rs. 61.3 billion in 1996 to Rs. 217 billion in 2006.

Leader of the House, Minister Nimal Siripala De Silva disclosed the details to the House in response to an oral questioned raised by UNP Parliamentarian Ravi Karunanayake.

The Minister has said the outstanding loans have been increasing every year except in 2002 and 2003. Accordingly, the amount has reduced to Rs. 114.6 billion in 2002 compared to Rs. 142.5 billion in 2001 while it has further declined to Rs. 107.1 billion in 2003.

The outstanding loans have however started to increase from 2004 and has increased to Rs. 125 billion from Rs. 107 billion in the previous year.

The period of the loans vary from one to 180 months. The records of all loans are maintained until they are fully settled and for a further period of six months to one year, depending on the type of security. Thereafter, the security such as title deeds, registration of motor vehicles, insurance policies, deposit certificates etc. are released to the customers and other documents are destroyed as per the bank's archiving policy.

"Hence, at any given time the bank maintains the records of outstanding loans only," the Minister has said.

The loans that have been considered as bad debts have also been accumulating from 1996 to 2006. Accordingly, the amount has increased from Rs 10,727 million in 1996 to Rs 13,603 million in 2006. The total loans written off have been Rs 117 million in 1996 and Rs 70 million in 2003.

 


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