A thaw in the highly tensed Arab-Israeli
relations appeared to be in the making last
week with the announcement of three separate
peace deals that had been negotiated by
Israel with its neighbours, but there was no
optimism expressed for peace and only much
scepticism was voiced. Many have been the
Middle East peace agreements that were
initiated in the past half century and many
have been the failures.
Hamas the militant Palestinian organisation
which does not recognise the state of Israel
and is sworn to its destruction and Israel
which does not recognise Hamas and has been
attacking Hamas in the Gaza strip, reached a
six month agreement for a ceasefire. The
negotiations had been brokered through
Egypt.
Both sides, commentators have pointed out
needed a respite from the continuing
violence. Last week it was claimed that 90
rockets were fired by the Palestinians into
Israel with no deaths reported while Israeli
attacks on the Gaza accounted for the deaths
of more than 20 Palestinians.
Pact with the devil
"It was a pact with the devil" Israeli Prime
Minister Ehud Olmert was quoted saying.
Olmert facing charges of corruption is under
severe pressure by Israeli parties to resign
from office. The cessation of incessant
rocket fire into southern Israel may help
him.
Hamas leaders too are under severe pressure
because after the seizure of control of Gaza
a year ago from Mahmoud Abbas of the Fatah,
Israel had imposed a severe blockade on Gaza
halting the flow of goods and people in and
out of Gaza. The 1.2 mn inhabitants have
been living mostly on UN provided food.
Israel has been periodically cutting of
power and fuel supplies as well.
Supportive of Israel
Hamas even though it won a popular vote in
the Gaza over the corrupt Fatah
administration is not recognised by the US,
Israel and the west - all of them being
strongly supportive of Israel.
The ceasefire agreement provides for a flow
of goods into the Gaza and by Friday truck
loads carrying food had moved in, the
agreement coming into effect on Thursday.
If the agreement holds, talks will begin for
the release of the young Israeli Corporal
Gilad Shalit who was captured by the
Palestinians two years ago. Hamas wants the
release of hundreds of Palestinians held
in Israeli prisons in exchange. This is a
tough proposition and earlier proposals for
peace talks floundered on this issue. If
this hurdle is overcome the Reffai border
post between Gaza and Egypt would be opened
but manned by Europeans
Another consideration for the success or
failure of the agreement would be the
ability of Hamas to control other militant
groups who too have been firing rockets into
Israel. The agreement also does not cover
the West Bank of Palestine where Israel
still carries out military operations. A
flare up there could be followed in the Gaza
wrecking the peace plan.
It is pointed out that some Israeli
hardliners consider that this agreement
would confer legitimacy on Hamas while also
giving them time to consolidate themselves
and smuggle in arms.
For Israel continuous rocket attacks would
have compelled them to conduct a military
invasion of the Gaza which would have
resulted in the deaths of hundreds of
Palestinians and Israeli soldiers. Also,
even after such an invasion, Hamas would not
have been eliminated or driven out from the
Gaza. Therefore the better option was the
agreement reached however unpalatable it may
be for Israel.
Agreement with Lebanon
Israel which has shown a marked reluctance
to reach agreements with its Arab neighbours
last week agreed to direct peace talks with
neighbouring Lebanon. All contentious issues
were negotiable, including the piece of
land between the borders of the two
countries called the Sheeba Farms.
Israel has been holding on to these lands
after the one year war between the Shiite
militant group, the Hezbollah, two years
ago. Lebanon has been insisting that Israel
returns this land prior to any negotiations
as well as provide maps of mines and
cluster bombs they laid in Lebanon during
the last war - these bombs and mines being
meant to thwart the Hezbollah who are
occupying the region making incursions into
Israel.
Lebanon also wants the return of all
Lebanese prisoners. Reports said that
Condoleezza Rice the US Secretary of State
had initiated these peace talks to 'solve
bigger issues in the region.'
The aim of Western nations is to weaken the
Hezbollah - aligned to Iran and Syria and is
anti West - while supporting the pro Western
government of Lebanon.
Israel-Syria agreement
The completion of the second round of
indirect negotiations between Israel and
Syria ended successfully and a peace treaty
was on the cards, it was reported last week.
The main contentious issue is the Golan
Heights between Syria and Israel which was
captured by Israel in the 1967 Seven Day War
and is holding on to it despite UN
resolutions.
The talks were mediated by Turkey and backed
by France. The Syrian President
Baskar-al-Assad and Israeli Premier Ehud
Olmert are to hold talks in France soon,
reports said.
What does these three agreements which
Israel has agreed on imply to peace in the
Middle East? Israel is known for its
reluctance to have such relations with the
Arabs, its only friend in the region being
Egypt. Is there a thaw in Israeli Arab
relations? There are no guesses being made
and no expressions of optimism.