The flawless election victory of Barack
Obama is acknowledged by one and all but now
comes the greatest of challenges which an
American president has ever faced: the
financial crisis which is escalating to a
recession and spreading to financial centres
around the world.
Obama's victory could be largely attributed
to his flowing rhetoric that captured the
hearts and minds of the world. It was of a
variety delivered from pulpits with resonant
undertones of basic American values such as
democracy, freedom, greatness of the
American nation and American values.
He touched upon the problems faced by the
nation but did not offer definitive
solutions though he had some proposals to
make. But his flowing rhetoric cannot solve
the complex challenges before him,
particularly the financial crisis.
To an outside observer of the American scene
a striking feature is that no economic or
political pundit sounded warnings before the
crisis engulfed the nation. Once it happened
many were the remedial measures suggested
but a sure cure - if there is one - has yet
to be made. But it is essential and has to
be found soon.
However, financial crises may take years to
resolve such as the great depression in the
1930s that lasted for a greater part of the
decade. The Obama magic which has worked in
America
and in the rest of the world will not last
long if industries and financial
institutions keep collapsing and thousands
are unemployed.
Foreign policy
In foreign affairs he walks in to two
ongoing wars in Iraq and Afghanistan. There
is also the volatile Middle East, the
fallout of which will impact on the domestic
scene. Senator Barack Obama is known as one
of the most liberal senators. But as the
president he would have to be much more
pragmatic and tread a middle of the road
path.
His policies will be viewed with much
suspicion by the extreme conservative right
not only because of his liberal views but
because he is black and his middle name is
Hussein. At times he will have to stray
beyond his path to satisfy powerful
interests like he did when he addressed the
Jewish American lobby soon after receiving
nomination from the Democratic Party.
He pledged to support the proposal of making
Jerusalem the capital of Israel - a pledge
which even George W. Bush had not made. This
pledge has not pleased Islamic lobbyists who
are bound to take up cudgels against him as
he continues with his pro-Israel policies
which he must, if he is to keep a vast
proportion of his constituents happy.
His choice of Rahm Emmanuel, an American
Jew, as the chief of staff of the White
House has already upset some of the Islamic
lobbyists even in Sri Lanka and his pledge
to wage war against the al Qaeda and the
Taliban and to go after Osama bin Laden and
' kill him' would certainly not please
closet bin Laden's fans.
Iraq
Obama has spoken of his intention of pulling
out American troops from Iraq in 16 months
time but the question is whether al Qaeda
and Iran will step up violence in Iraq
making a pullout of US troops as intended
not possible.
Where al Qaeda is concerned they would most
probably want to wear down the 'Great Satan'
in terms of its troops and money. Iran too
would want to make matters difficult for
America
now that Obama had declared that possession
of nuclear weapons by Iran was
'unacceptable.' Last week's killing of two
American soldiers by Iraqi troops while on a
joint patrol would be a matter of great
concern if such a situation develops
further.
Having opposed American intervention in Iraq
at its very inception Obama has said that
the focus should be on Afghanistan and that
he would move some troops from
Iraq
to Afghanistan to fight the Taliban and go
after al Qaeda. The war in Afghanistan is
going badly for the American and NATO troops
with the Taliban now making their presence
felt in the main cities such as
Kabul
and Kandahar.
It is apparent that more troops are needed
there. Besides NATO countries appear to be
dragging their feet in Afghanistan. Their
governments appear to be unwilling to send
troops to Afghanistan where they have little
or no interest. It could well be that Obama
may have to take on the entire operation in
Afghanistan.
Pakistan
An even greater problem is Pakistan where al
Qaeda and presumably bin Laden himself have
taken refuge. Obama's stand on this issue
has been that if Pakistani authorities do
not take on the al Qaeda and Taliban
operatives who have taken refuge in the
Pakistan-Afghan border regions US troops
would go into Pakistan. Already US is
conducting air attacks on Pakistani
territory with unmanned aircraft and many
civilians have been victims of such attacks.
This is indeed a very queer development
because Pakistan has been the most important
ally of the
US
since the early days of the Cold War. Obama
will obviously try to sort it out with the
new civilian government of Asif Zaradari and
of the 15 world leaders he had telephoned
after his election, Zaradari has been one.
India
Better relations with
Pakistan
invariably results in head-on collisions
with
Pakistan's
arch foe, India. Obama's failure to include
the Indian Leader Manmohan Singh in the list
of world leaders he had called after his
election had resulted in much heartburn in
New Delhi as widely reported in the Indian
media. It was viewed with even much concern
because President George W. Bush had
actively promoted closer Indo-American
relations as never before, even abandoning
the US policy of nuclear non proliferation.
The Indo-US civilian nuclear deal was the
high watermark in this relationship. Obama,
however a few days later telephoned the
Indian premier stressing that he considered
Indo-US relationships a 'very important
partnership' and that his administration
would want to work with India on all
important global issues.
China
Obama's
China policy has not been very clearly spelled out but it
does appear that he will need the
cooperation of
China to get out of the financial mess.
China has trillions of dollars invested in
the
US
and any signs of a pull out could spell
disaster to the US. Last week China pumped
in $586 billion into its own economy to
'stimulate its domestic economy and
neutralise the global slowdown.'
Barack Obama himself has confessed more than
once after his victory that the road ahead
is long, hard and steep, and his programme
may not be completed even within one term in
office.