By Mandana Ismail Abeywickrema
Weeks after the government announced its
'economic stimulus package' to cushion the
economy from the global economic crisis, the
industrial and export sectors lament about
the failure of the promised relief.
The tea, rubber and apparel sectors have
expressed concern over the delay in
receiving the benefits proposed through the
relief package. The economic stimulus
package for consumers, industrialists,
exporters and the plantation sector, worth a
total of Rs. 16 billion, was announced after
a special cabinet meeting was summoned by
President Mahinda Rajapakse on December 30,
2008.
The apparel sector, one of the largest
revenue earners for the country, states that
the benefits announced in the stimulus
package needed to be in place by the second
month of this year if the industry is to
stay afloat.
Badly hit
The apparel industry has been badly hit by
the global economic crisis and the
uncertainty regarding the GSP+ facility
offered by the European Union has in no way
helped the cause.
"The key focus in the apparel sector now is
to survive and it is important that the main
stimulus package, which has not come out
yet, be put in place soon," Secretary
General, Joint Apparel Associations Forum (JAAF),
Rohan Masakorale said.
Given the present global conditions,
analysts have warned that the country would
be hard pressed to keep the economy ticking.
Already, out of the original 800 garment
factories set up in the country only around
275 are in operation as at end 2008.
Apparel sector experts have said that while
60 to 70 garment factories have closed down
since 2007, many of them were trying to
consolidate. It has been pointed out that
while there were over 350 garment factories
operating as of 2007, there are now around
265 to 275 factories 'operational.'
According to Masakorale, the workforce in
the apparel sector that stood at around
300,000 in 2007 has now declined to about
280,000.
He said that apart from one major factory
eight to 10 other factories have either
closed down or merged this month alone, in
order to survive the current crisis.
Masakorale said that contrary to the
shortage in the workforce experienced about
two to three years back; factories could no
longer take in new employees due to the
present conditions.
Benefit
Referring to the proposals in the economic
stimulus package, Masakorale said that the
apparel sector has already received the
benefit of the removal of the 15%
electricity surcharge and the reduction of
VAT from 15% to 12%.
However, he pointed out that the sector
could benefit only from the main proposal in
the stimulus package of providing a 5%
rebate on exports as manufacturing relief to
the apparel and leather product exporters,
which has not yet been implemented.
"We hope it would be implemented soon, as it
would be the main relief expected by the
industry," Masakorale said.
He expressed concern over the survival of
the apparel industry given the present
internal and external conditions and sought
the quick implementation of the proposals in
the relief package.
Analysts have already warned that 2009 will
be a decisive year for the export industry
and some of the affected industries have
already sought state intervention to
overcome the crisis. The export sector - tea
and rubber industries have sought government
assistance.
The tea and rubber small holders have become
very vocal in expressing their displeasure
over the delay in receiving the so-called
relief offered by the government last month.
They say that the badly hit export sector
would have a negative impact on the
country's growth.
Standstill
Rubber small holders say that due to the
government's delay in providing the promised
relief, rubber tapping has come to a
standstill.
Convener, Joint Association of Rubber Milk
Manufacturers Gamini Ratnayake said that
while 64% of the rubber manufacturers were
rubber small holders, they have completely
stopped tapping rubber due to the low prices
offered for their produce.
He also said that the fertiliser provided to
the tea sector at Rs. 1,000 was not granted
to the rubber industry.
He added that although the government
promised a fixed price of Rs. 150 for a kilo
of crepe rubber in its stimulus package to
save the rubber industry, the price remained
between Rs. 110 and Rs. 130 per kilo.
"The rubber industry has not received the
relief proposed in the package," Ratnayake
said.
He said that with the negative impact on the
rubber industry, a large number of people
have been left unemployed as a result. He
went on to elaborate that a greater part of
the rubber tapping and maintenance of the
rubber plantations were done by daily wage
earners and with the rubber small holders
deciding to stop work in the plantations, a
large number of people have been left
without a livelihood.
Ratnayake charged that the government's
relief package that was announced at a 'late
stage' has still not materialised to provide
relief to the rubber industry.
Fixed price
Meanwhile, the tea small holders have also
come out strong against the government's
failure to provide the promised fixed price
of Rs. 45 per kilo of raw leaves.
Convener, Tea Small Holders Joint Forum and
JVP Parliamentarian Chandrasena Wijesinghe
noted that the government's proposal to
provide fertiliser at Rs. 1,000 to the tea
small holders was included in the 2009
budget.
"The proposal to give fertiliser at Rs.
1,000 is nothing new as it was by then
included in the budget," he said. Besides,
he explained that the fertiliser could not
be used on the trees till April. "It has to
be used during the rainy season and the
trees have not received any fertiliser since
last July."
Wijesinghe said that the delay in using
fertiliser would result in the production of
poor quality tea leaves. He said that the
issues faced by the tea industry remained
unresolved.
Avert crash
The leisure industry that is in the doldrums
has also sought government intervention to
avert a complete crash. Hoteliers have also
aired their confusion over the relief
package offered to the leisure industry.
"At the moment the industry has hit rock
bottom and unless the government intervenes,
the industry would collapse. It was a relief
to the industry when President Rajapakse
promised to provide assistance to the
industry but neither the Treasury nor the
Central Bank has so far told us as to what
the industry would get," President, Tourist
Hotels Association of Sri Lanka (THASL),
Srilal Miththapala told The Sunday Leader's
sister paper, The Morning Leader last week.
He had also said, "I have written to the
relevant departments as to what we should
expect, but no one is ready to give any
details in writing. Although we are yet to
be informed officially about the intended
relief package, we are thankful to the
President for assisting the industry even in
a small way."
Eyewash
However, soon after the announcement of the
relief package in December, economic
analysts who had a close look at it called
it 'eyewash' presented to mislead the
public, especially given the downward trend
in the world fuel and food prices.
They say that the reduction in local fuel
and other commodity prices do not in any way
reflect the huge decline in global prices.
On the other hand, exporters and many
industrialists lamented that the relief
offered was too little too late and
insufficient, given the massive downfall
experienced in many export related
industries due to the government's delay in
addressing their issues.
As pointed out by industrialists and
exporters, the relief offered too little too
late is also not forthcoming to the
crisis-ridden sectors.
Meanwhile, the apparel industry said last
week that if devaluation of the rupee is not
possible, it should be allowed to depreciate
to a realistic level.
"If it is not possible to devalue the rupee,
then the rupee must be allowed to depreciate
to a reasonable level," JAAF Head, Ajith
Dias had told journalists last week at a
seminar organised by the Institute of
Chartered Accountants of Sri Lanka on the
'Global Financial Crisis.'
Uncompetitive
Exporters have said the high rate of
inflation in Sri Lanka, together with
currency devaluation by buyers of Sri Lankan
goods and also competitors, have made Sri
Lankan goods uncompetitive in international
markets.
The head of the Hayleys Group, one of the
largest Sri Lankan exporters accounting for
2.6% of total national export revenue, had
also expressed similar concerns.
"Relaxing the exchange rate will help the
situation, but for whatever reason, if the
government cannot do this, then we need to
find some other solutions," Chairman and
CEO, Hayleys PLC, N. G. Wickremaratne has
said.
"If the rupee can reach Rs 118-Rs 120 to the
US dollar, that will mitigate many of our
problems. But this must happen immediately,
not by the end of 2009," Dias has reportedly
said.
However, problems remain to be tended to in
many local sectors affected by the global
economic meltdown and as pointed out by
many, the sooner it is done, the better it
will be.